The Final 15 Contenders For The 2010 Best Visual Effects Oscar

TheAcademy of Motion Picture Arts and Scienceshas announced the final 15 contenders for the 2010 Oscar forBest Visual Effects.

This is only the first cut, though. Next, members of the Academy’s visual effects branch executive committee will select seven of the final 15. At that point, all the members of the visual effects branch watch 15 minute clip reels from those seven films and then select the five nominees. Eventually, one film will be given the Oscar on February 27 at the Kodak Theater in Hollywood. After the jump, look at the full list and join along in guessing which films will make the cut and which won’t.

Here are the fifteen films that are still in the running for a nomination, which will be handed out on January 25.

Out of those 15, there are certainly some welcome surprises (Shutter Island, Scott Pilgrim vs. The World) as well as some questionable choices (The Last Airbender, Percy Jackson) and the rest are all pretty obvious: they’re all the huge effects movies of 2010.

So let’s make some educated guesses, shall we? Stop me when you disagree (or just make a comment below.)

For the second cut, out of the about 15, seven will be chosen. I’d eliminate the four I just mentioned either because the films weren’t that well received or the effects weren’t that obvious. Then I’d also eliminateUnstoppable, The Sorcerer’s Apprentice, The Chronicles of Narnia: The Voyage of the Dawn TreaderandIron Man 2. I picked the first two for the same reasons as the other films. As forNarniaandIron Man, the were pretty much just improved versions of their original versions.

That then leavesAlice in Wonderland, Clash of the Titans, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1, Hereafter, Inception, Prince of Persia: The Sands of TimeandTron: Legacyas the seven that make the second round. Out of those I thinkClash of the TitansandPrince of Persiaget the boot, simply because they look so similar.

You nominees, then, would be

The one you are probably questioning in there isHereafter. The reason I didn’t eliminate it immediately is because the Academy loves them some Clint Eastwood and there’s always at least one or two films that get nominated where you’re like, “What?”

And out of those five, I believeInceptionwins the Oscar.

Those are my guesses. What do you think?